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2 special elections could bring more bad news for Britain's governing Conservatives_我的网站
A | AI摘要 福州升级发布暴雨预警Ⅲ级，受台风“简拉维”影响，24日至25日将有暴雨到大暴雨。
B | LONDON -- Voters are casting ballots Thursday in two special elections in England that could add more misery to the beleaguered governing Conservative Party as it prepares to fight a national election next year.The Conservatives won both Tamworth in central England and Mid-Bedfordshire, north of London, by large margins during the last national election in 2019. But both constituencies’ lawmakers resigned under a cloud.Tamworth legislator Chris Pincher quit after Parliament’s standards watchdog recommended he be suspended for “completely inappropriate” behavior after groping two men at a London private members’ club. Then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson’ s reluctance to sanction Pincher when the allegations emerged helped trigger Johnson's ouster at the hands of his own party last year.Mid-Bedfordshire member of Parliament Nadine Dorries resigned over the treatment of Johnson and her own failure to be appointed to Parliament’s upper chamber, the House of Lords. Dorries is a strong ally of Johnson who has blamed Prime Minister Rishi Sunak for helping to topple the former leader.The Conservatives acknowledge they face “difficult headwinds” in both seats. Polls close at 10 p.m. (2100GMT), with results announced early Friday.The main opposition Labour Party and the smaller Liberal Democrats hope to win the seats but have tried to manage expectations, noting that the Conservatives won substantial majorities in 2019. Labour has called both districts “super-safe Tory seats.”Losing either one would add to pressure on the governing party, which has lost several byelections since Sunak took office just under a year ago. He replaced Liz Truss, who quit in October 2022 after her plan for unfunded tax cuts sent financial markets into turmoil and rocked the economy.Truss spent just seven weeks in office after winning a party leadership contest to replace Johnson, who quit after three years in office when scandals over money and ethics turned party lawmakers against him.Sunak steadied the economy but has not managed to boost the party’s rating in opinion polls, where it consistently lags between 10 and 20 points behind Labour.The Conservatives have been in power nationally since 2010, years that saw austerity following the world banking crisis, Britain’s divisive decision to leave the European Union, a global pandemic and a European war that has triggered the worst cost-of-living crisis in decades.Polls show the Conservatives are losing support across the country, from affluent southern voters turned off by Brexit to working-class northern voters who switched from Labour in 2019 after Johnson promised to spread prosperity to long-neglected areas.Sunak has tried to rally support by arguing he has a long-term vision and is prepared to make tough decisions to change Britain.Earlier this month Labour won a special election victory over the Scottish National Party in Scotland. Winning seats in Scotland, where the pro-independence SNP has long been dominant, is key to Labour’s attempt to secure a majority in the next national election, due by the end of 2024.。台风“沙德尔”也可能影响福建外海。需防范山洪、积涝等次生灾害及交通安全风险。 记者23日获悉，福州市气象台当日16时升级发布“暴雨预警Ⅲ级”。受季风槽和台风“简拉维”共同影响，预计24日至25日福州有暴雨到大暴雨过程。 市气象台预计，今年第20号台风“简拉维”（热带风暴级）将以每小时5公里~10公里的速度向西偏南方向缓慢移动。今年第18号台风“沙德尔”将以每小时20公里左右的速度向西偏北方向移动，强度逐渐增强，可能于25日下午至夜间进入福建热带气旋警戒区，开始影响福建外海渔场。
C | 风雨预报方面，受台风“简拉维”影响，24日至25日福州沿海最大风力6级~7级，阵风8级~9级。降水方面，24日全市大雨到暴雨，部分地区大暴雨；25日全市大雨到暴雨，局部地区大暴雨。23日至25日累计雨量100毫米~200毫米，局部地区超280毫米，最大小时雨强60毫米~80毫米。
D | 市气象台提醒，注意防范强降水可能引发的山洪、城乡积涝、塌方、滑坡等次生灾害；部分路段交通气象风险较高，注意防范强降水和局地雷暴大风对交通安全的不利影响；恰逢暑期，旅游出行量大，须提前做好景区安全管控，重点强化涉山涉水区域、各类景区的巡查排查。此外，需关注台风“沙德尔”未来发展动态及对福州的影响，气象部门将加强监测，及时发布预报预警。
E | （记者 潘温祥）。
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